If large urban centres are the core constituency of the liberal government of Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, then Sunday's presidential election first round showed him struggling against an anti-establishment pushback simmering throughout Europe.

In Poland's presidential election, Warsaw mayor Rafal Trzaskowski narrowly leads against Karol Nawrocki, indicating a substantial anti-establishment sentiment. A Trzaskowski win could advance democratic reforms promised by Prime Minister Donald Tusk.

Rafal Trzaskowski leads Poland’s presidential race, heads to run-off with Karol Nawrocki as no candidate wins outright majority.

The data from polling stations abroad are already known. Poland is awaiting the second round of the presidential election. In the first round, the Civic Coalition candidate Rafal Trzaskowski is leading with a minimal margin of 31.2%, while the second is the Law and Justice candidate Karol Nawrocki with 29.7%.

Warsaw mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, the Oxford-educated son of a jazz musician and frontrunner in Sunday's Polish presidential election, made friends across the European Parliament when he worked there, including with Portugal's now-foreign minister.

Rafal Trzaskowski, Warsaw's mayor, is a leading candidate in Poland's presidential election. Known for his linguistic skills and liberal values, he represents Western ideals against rising nationalism in Central and Eastern Europe.