Ruchir Sharma highlighted that Indian elections often follow a recurring trend, particularly when state polls are held within six to twelve months of Lok Sabha elections.

Polling Nostradamus Allan Lichtman explains why he went wrong with his prediction for the 2024 US elections.

Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market operating on the Polygon network, has become a prominent platform for ...

And first, a closer look at NYRB editorial director Edwin Frank’s new ‘Stranger Than Fiction: Lives of the Twentieth-Century ...

Partial returns as of 5 p.m. Wednesday showed Wilson leading Portland Commissioner Carmen Rubio 62% to 38% — a margin of more ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

2024 Robins added that it is a “different framework” for prediction markets, which offer bettors the chance to wager on U.S.

The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to ...

Election betting platform Polymarket has plans to return to the US on its success accurately predicting President-elect ...

A leak has revealed the world's largest asset manager BlackRock is in discussions to buy a stake in the "king" of spot ...

An unexpected winner emerged from the 2024 U.S. presidential race: Election betting. Traders have been glued to prices of election contracts on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Activity surged ...

The basic theory behind prediction markets is that ... The presidential election was a popular market, but there are plenty ...